Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 80.686145 89.715524 99.028548 109.329423 120.381163 131.860461 144.662860
2025-01-12 66.401192 79.600835 93.927743 110.537615 129.167034 149.322550 172.681535
2025-01-19 56.013284 70.921760 87.703503 107.802447 131.026564 156.830975 187.477129
2025-01-26 51.551568 68.265970 87.642795 111.453461 139.607029 171.526246 210.131852
2025-02-02 47.391262 65.388371 86.815714 113.752864 146.248546 183.734169 229.777179
2025-02-09 43.240494 62.071260 85.067887 114.600796 150.892157 193.419917 246.384480
2025-02-16 41.082241 61.014812 85.888584 118.407103 158.981012 207.140702 267.793218
2025-02-23 38.240525 58.807221 85.040352 119.952161 164.171471 217.318306 284.978181
2025-03-02 34.401672 54.961947 81.816970 118.242371 165.114923 222.189535 295.664645
2025-03-09 31.336088 51.927529 79.435006 117.412724 167.000112 228.101262 307.555883
2025-03-16 28.875688 49.549019 77.759059 117.354960 169.752898 235.018980 320.665383
2025-03-23 27.840824 49.135044 78.689592 120.715962 176.914909 247.503542 340.784687
2025-03-30 26.037402 47.512936 77.920835 121.820254 181.235601 256.581380 356.943309
2025-04-06 24.216913 45.739377 76.842074 122.434786 184.887875 264.838508 372.168772
2025-04-13 21.573928 42.479376 73.436551 119.638796 183.818793 266.882139 379.393334
2025-04-20 21.032626 42.512112 74.806364 123.539652 191.814827 280.763068 401.894629
2025-04-27 20.150960 41.921139 75.200234 126.023171 197.879717 292.154498 421.274082
2025-05-04 18.932925 40.679377 74.540337 126.934369 201.752829 300.663061 436.965169
2025-05-11 18.581415 40.879547 76.067483 131.030753 210.077485 315.143225 460.557013
2025-05-18 17.677169 40.054877 75.958656 132.692568 214.994590 325.104956 478.299975
2025-05-25 16.056420 37.838176 73.556733 130.853474 214.903875 328.299091 487.119265
2025-06-01 14.765500 36.113381 71.843308 129.960880 216.090093 333.177935 498.161114
2025-06-08 13.737998 34.795852 70.717412 129.898730 218.424333 339.602611 511.279232